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          US, Iraq deal sees long-term US presence

          (Agencies)
          Updated: 2007-11-27 10:51

          Two Republican senators said that unless Baghdad makes more political progress by January, the US should consider withdrawing financial aid or political support from al-Maliki.

          The warnings, coming from Sens. Lindsey Graham and Saxby Chambliss, were an indication that while GOP patience on the war has increased this fall because of security gains made by the military, it isn't bottomless.

          "I do expect them to deliver," Graham, R-SC, said in a phone interview. "What would happen for me if there's no progress on reconciliation after the first of the year, I would be looking at ways to invest our money into groups that can deliver."

          Likewise, Chambliss, R-Ga., suggested lawmakers might even call for al-Maliki's ouster if Baghdad didn't reach agreements on at least some of the major issues seen as key to tamping down sectarian violence.

          Two senior Iraqi officials familiar with the issue say Iraq's government will embrace a long-term US troop presence in return for US security guarantees as part of a strategic partnership. The two officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the subject is sensitive, said US military and diplomatic representatives appeared generally favorable, subject to negotiations on the details, which include preferential treatment for American investments.

          Preferential treatment for US investors could provide a huge windfall if Iraq can achieve enough stability to exploit its vast oil resources. Such a deal would also enable the United States to maintain leverage against Iranian expansion at a time of growing fears about Tehran's nuclear aspirations.

          The framework Bush approved outlines broad principles, such as that both countries will support Iraq's economic institutions, and help its government train Iraqi security forces to provide stability for all Iraqis. Lute said "all major national leaders of the existing Iraqi government" have committed to it.

          "The basic message here should be clear: Iraq is increasingly able to stand on its own; that's very good news, but it won't have to stand alone," said Lute, who rarely holds televised briefings.

          He said it is too soon to tell what the "shape and size" of the US military commitment will look like, including military bases.

          The Iraqi officials said that under the proposed formula, Iraq would get full responsibility for internal security and US troops would relocate to bases outside the cities. Iraqi officials foresee a long-term presence of about 50,000 US troops, down from the current figure of more than 160,000.

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