Expert: time forr two-child era

A farmer in Guizhou province committed suicide because he couldn’t afford to pay the fine of 22,500 yuan ($3,612.5) for having more than one child. The incident has once again exposed the dark side of law enforcement in family planning cases. Wang Guangrong, 37, had four children, but the younger three couldn’t attend school because the children of parents violating the family planning policy cannot be admitted to school or get medical welfare or have household registration (hukou).

People are bound to abide by the family planning policy, but that doesn’t mean the children of parents who violate it should be denied the right to education and Chinese citizenship. The Third Plenum of the 18th Communist Party of China Central Committee eased some of the strict family planning norms. For example, a couple can have a second child if either of them is the only child of his/her parents. Though this is a welcome move, the ultimate goal of the reform should be to allow couples to decide how many children they want to have.

TV stars Sun Li and Deng Chao had their second child recently, but in Hong Kong, not on the Chinese mainland. Since the couple obtained Hong Kong residency through the Special Administrative Region’s scheme for mainland talents and professionals last year, their daughter will be a Hong Kong resident and they will avoid paying a fine for having a second child. This shows how the rich and famous avoid paying fines for violating family planning norms.

Perhaps the authorities should consider allowing all couples to have two children. People like Wang, who have four children, are rare in China, and they cannot reverse the low birth rate trend in the country. The strict family planning policy has led to a significant drop in the percentage of working-age people and a serious gender imbalance because of Chinese people’s preference for sons.

The beautiful vision of “having only one child while the government takes care of the elders” is in sharp contrast to the miserable situation that families find themselves in if they lose their only child. The low birth rate has already created social problems such as labor shortage and delayed retirement.

A long-term family planning policy aimed at reducing the number of births could be harmful to society and the economy. China’s population grew rapidly during the country’s first demographic transition period, which might have posed a challenge to the planned economy but paid huge demographic dividends once the country announced the reforms and opening-up. But those demographic dividends have almost become history now.