<tt id="6hsgl"><pre id="6hsgl"><pre id="6hsgl"></pre></pre></tt>
          <nav id="6hsgl"><th id="6hsgl"></th></nav>
          国产免费网站看v片元遮挡,一亚洲一区二区中文字幕,波多野结衣一区二区免费视频,天天色综网,久久综合给合久久狠狠狠,男人的天堂av一二三区,午夜福利看片在线观看,亚洲中文字幕在线无码一区二区

          News >China

          Economy threatened by aging demographic

          2011-05-03 07:29

          Economy threatened by aging demographic
          Employment advertisements at a job fair in Taizhou, Zhejiang province. Some economists have argued that a labor shortage could provide a catalyst to accelerate China's industry upgrade, increase productivity, and transform the nation's growth model. [Jia Ce/China Daily]

          BEIJING - China's population is getting older, and that could have a major effect on the nation's economic prosperity.

          The emergence of negative growth in the total working-age population, which some demographers predict will happen as early as 2013, is likely to contribute to slower economic growth and higher inflation, according to analysts.

          However, they said the demographic shift from a rural surplus of labor to a deficit will help to accelerate the transformation of the growth model from one which is export- and investment-led to one driven by services and consumption.

          The latest census data, released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Thursday, showed that the proportion of the population aged between 0 and 14 fell to 16.6 percent in 2010 from 22.9 percent in 2000. Meanwhile the number of people aged 60 and above grew to 13.3 percent from 10.3 percent.

          The falling number of young people suggests the Chinese population is aging rapidly. The Asian Development Bank forecast that the proportion of those aged 60 and above is expected to rise to 33 percent by 2050. That would make China's population the same age as Denmark's, but older than that of the United States (26 percent).

          The number of working-age Chinese will soon start to see negative growth with the National Population and Family Planning Commission predicting the peak will occur in 2016, while some analysts say it could be as early as 2013.

          "The potential emergence of a labor shortage is likely to contribute to slower economic growth in the short term," said Zhang Juwei, professor and director of the Labor and Social Security Research Center at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

          China has already reaped the benefits of a demographic dividend, which is believed to have played a role in the country's economic breakthrough, having enjoyed the advantage of abundant cheap labor for decades.

          "Wage increases are the most direct response to labor shortages. That will definitely squeeze the profit margin for some low value-added manufacturers," Zhang said.

          Economists said that higher wage rates could lead to higher inflation and a decline in the competitiveness of the manufacturing sector, which may cast a shadow over the country's position as a global manufacturing center.

          In 2010, minimum wages increased by more than 20 percent on average, and the government has vowed to double workers' pay over the next five years.

          "It will become harder for productivity to keep up with faster wage growth, while the consumption share of GDP should soon start to rise, reducing economic overcapacity. All this points to higher structural inflation pressure," Sun Chi, an economist at Nomura Securities wrote in a report.

          Some economists have argued that a labor shortage could provide a catalyst to accelerate the country's industry upgrade, increase productivity, and transform the nation's growth model.

          "The labor shortage will force enterprises to go after an innovation and technology-driven strategy, which will help lift productivity and offset the negative impacts, said Mo Rong, deputy head of the Research Institute for Labor Science at the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security.

          Analysts also said that to address the issue effectively, policymakers in Beijing need to gradually loosen the family-planning policy and to remove the system of household registration, which is a major barrier to the migration of labor from rural areas to the cities.

          Related News:

          主站蜘蛛池模板: 亚洲国产天堂久久国产91| 99久久无色码中文字幕| 国产精品不卡一区二区在线| 日本人成精品视频在线| 精品一区二区三区蜜桃久| 亚洲熟妇AV乱码在线观看| 漂亮少妇高潮在线观看| 国产精品久久无码不卡黑寡妇| 国产亚洲精品自在线| 精品无码人妻一区二区三区| 无码人妻一区二区三区线| 极品白嫩少妇无套内谢| 一边摸一边抽搐一进一出视频| 激情综合网激情综合网五月| 久久天天躁夜夜躁狠狠| 亚洲黄片一区二区三区| 少妇人妻偷人精品免费| 中文字幕精品亚洲字幕资源网| 久久国产精品二国产人妻| 亚洲精品久久久中文字幕痴女| 日韩黄色av一区二区三区 | 日本道精品一区二区三区| 精品久久久久久无码专区不卡| 丰满人妻无码∧v区视频| 四虎www永久在线精品| 中文字幕在线日韩| 《特殊的精油按摩》3| 中文字幕一区二区三区麻豆| 日韩在线视频线观看一区| 国产免费丝袜调教视频| 亚洲综合伊人五月天中文| 国产AV巨作丝袜秘书| 国产亚洲精品久久久久久无亚洲 | 一区二区三区av天堂| jk白丝喷浆| 国产精品久久久天天影视香蕉| 国产成人精品1024免费下载| 国产成人亚洲综合| 精品人妻中文av一区二区三区| 亚洲国产精品人人做人人爱| 亚洲欧美人成网站aaaa|