Thinking differently on growth

Visitors stop by the booth of Zhongguancun Science Park at the 13th China International Environmental Protection Exhibition & Conference held in Beijing on July 23. The park has 1,500 enterprises engaged in energy conservation and environmental protection. [Photo / CFP]

GDP should not be the focus of development

The constant scrutiny by Wall Street and policy makers of countries' GDP growth can distort development incentives and result in disastrous unintended consequences. Clearly, for a country to prosper, sufficient economic activity must be generated in order to employ greater numbers of people and to improve the overall standard of living for society. However, GDP was developed as a measure decades ago, and it has many shortcomings that can make it a poor measure of quality of life. Instead, economists and policy makers should focus on other indicators and develop new models for measuring a country's development progress which is possible with today's technology and big data.

GDP is the sum of all the financial transactions for products and services within a country's borders. The first problem with this measure is that with many companies operating in multiple countries, the profits that accrue do not necessarily stay within a country's borders. In fact, arguably a majority of the profits of multinational firms flows back to the country of origin so that even if China's consumers spend a great deal in China, a large percentage of those profits will not accrue to anyone in China but to foreigners instead. For instance, Nike may hire Chinese workers to produce its shoes, have stores in China to sell its products, and only Chinese people buy from those stores. In essence, 90 percent of the economic activity happens in China and gets recorded in China's GDP. However, the majority of the profits of Nike goes back to the owners in the United States even if none of the economic activity happens in the United States. The national wealth measure is distorted because it would seem that China is getting richer and the United States is getting poorer when the exact opposite is true.

Secondly, GDP does not show distribution of income. A company that creates a lot of income from production does not show how that income is being distributed. We know that the majority of profits accrue to very few individuals and that the income inequality is wide in China. A focus on GDP can make matters worse since it can encourage more production by certain wealthy individuals who do not share their profits generously with their employees which will hinder healthy economic development.